Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Josefson on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Josefson 48.6% vs O'Reilly 56.2% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Josefson leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 76.2%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 79.3%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 79.2%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 77.6%
22.4%
77.6%
Josefson
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Josefson
O'Reilly
Last 10: Josefson 7-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
5
1
Josefson
O'Reilly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
3
Josefson
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Josefson
2
0
Josefson
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Josefson
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (513)
56.9% (1,203)
-9.7%
Power Play
57.0% (93)
60.2% (329)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (61)
50.4% (280)
-4.5%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Josefson is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Josefson shoots left. O'Reilly is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Home / Away
Josefson
O'Reilly
Home
51.6% (351)
58.6% (879)
Away
44.9% (316)
54.6% (933)
By Period
Josefson
O'Reilly
P1
46.3%
55.6%
P2
51.2%
57.9%
P3
48.2%
55.7%
OT
33.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
51.2%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
48.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2016 | 3 | 06:05 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 2 | 18:09 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 2 | 08:05 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 2 | 03:45 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 2 | 00:26 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 1 | 03:11 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 3 | 08:52 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 3 | 03:42 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 2 | 17:27 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 1 | 19:39 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |