Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Josefson 51.3% vs O'Reilly 57.6% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Josefson 74.5%
Defensive zone
Josefson 75.8%
Neutral zone
Josefson 76.5%
Result
Jacob Josefson favored at 74.9%
74.9%
25.1%
Josefson
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Josefson
O'Reilly
Last 6: Josefson 1-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Josefson
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Josefson
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Josefson
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (290)
57.9% (1,179)
-6.5%
Power Play
53.8% (13)
63.0% (292)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (10)
53.8% (320)
+6.2%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Josefson is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (234).
Josefson shoots left. O'Reilly is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,095).
Home / Away
Josefson
O'Reilly
Home
55.7% (185)
61.3% (884)
Away
46.1% (128)
54.8% (907)
By Period
Josefson
O'Reilly
P1
45.5%
55.5%
P2
51.3%
61.0%
P3
59.2%
56.8%
OT
0.0%
67.7%
Final 5 min
57.8%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
51.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2017 | 3 | 15:02 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Feb 6, 2017 | 1 | 13:34 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 6, 2017 | 1 | 10:01 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 2 | 07:33 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 1 | 17:25 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 1 | 07:27 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |