Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Josefson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Josefson 49.4% vs Bozak 53.0% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 87.9%
Defensive zone
Bozak 61.4%
Neutral zone
Bozak 69.0%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 69.9%
30.1%
69.9%
Josefson
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Josefson
Bozak
Last 8: Josefson 6-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Josefson
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
4
0
Josefson
Bozak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Josefson
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Josefson
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (465)
53.8% (1,244)
-5.0%
Power Play
47.8% (23)
53.1% (356)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
52.0% (98)
49.1% (175)
+2.9%
On power play, Bozak has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Josefson is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Josefson shoots left. Bozak is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,145).
Home / Away
Josefson
Bozak
Home
52.6% (268)
57.7% (892)
Away
46.5% (318)
48.6% (883)
By Period
Josefson
Bozak
P1
44.6%
54.0%
P2
51.2%
54.4%
P3
52.2%
51.0%
OT
100.0%
56.4%
Final 5 min
47.1%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
49.3%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2015 | 3 | 12:59 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Jan 28, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Jan 28, 2015 | 2 | 18:52 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Jan 28, 2015 | 2 | 04:20 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Jan 28, 2015 | 1 | 13:00 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 01:44 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 09:28 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 00:47 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |