Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.4% vs 48.6%). Look for Josefson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Josefson 48.6% vs Johnson 48.7% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 62.9%
Defensive zone
Josefson 56.7%
Neutral zone
Josefson 50.1%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Josefson
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Josefson
Johnson
Last 6: Josefson 4-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
3
1
Josefson
Johnson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Josefson
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Josefson
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (513)
48.5% (776)
-1.3%
Power Play
57.0% (93)
56.7% (157)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (61)
26.4% (53)
+19.5%
On penalty kill, Josefson has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Josefson is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (244).
Josefson shoots left. Johnson is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (648).
Home / Away
Josefson
Johnson
Home
51.6% (351)
48.8% (482)
Away
44.9% (316)
48.4% (504)
By Period
Josefson
Johnson
P1
46.3%
50.3%
P2
51.2%
48.5%
P3
48.2%
47.0%
OT
33.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
51.2%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
48.4%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2016 | 2 | 02:00 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Apr 2, 2016 | 3 | 13:42 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Apr 2, 2016 | 2 | 12:53 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Apr 2, 2016 | 2 | 04:09 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Apr 2, 2016 | 1 | 17:34 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Apr 2, 2016 | 1 | 08:13 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |