Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Josefson on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Josefson 48.8% vs Smith 50.6% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Josefson leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Smith 61.1%
Defensive zone
Smith 64.5%
Neutral zone
Smith 60.8%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Josefson
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
6
(17 meetings)
11
6
Josefson
Smith
Last 10: Josefson 7-3 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
3
Josefson
Smith
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
5
1
Josefson
Smith
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Josefson
5
2
Josefson
Smith
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Josefson
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (2,339)
51.6% (5,265)
-2.8%
Power Play
51.9% (185)
51.2% (342)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (312)
45.3% (985)
+0.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Josefson is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,888).
Josefson shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Josefson
Smith
Home
50.5% (1,517)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
46.8% (1,329)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Josefson
Smith
P1
46.4%
49.9%
P2
50.1%
50.0%
P3
49.8%
51.9%
OT
37.5%
51.6%
Final 5 min
51.3%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
48.8%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 09:35 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 3 | 13:30 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 2 | 01:57 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 11:51 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 00:52 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 3 | 12:15 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 3 | 07:32 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 3 | 07:26 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 2 | 12:23 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 2 | 12:19 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 2 | 09:42 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 1 | 16:16 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 1 | 13:36 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 2 | 11:27 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 2 | 07:37 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 1 | 18:27 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 1 | 08:48 | Offensive | Zack Smith |