Scouting Report
Jacob Josefson holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Josefson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Josefson 50.9% vs Smith 49.0% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Josefson 69.0%
Defensive zone
Smith 53.3%
Neutral zone
Josefson 61.7%
Result
Jacob Josefson favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Josefson
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Josefson
Smith
Last 7: Josefson 5-2 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Josefson
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
1
0
Josefson
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Josefson
4
0
Josefson
Smith
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Josefson
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (301)
48.0% (761)
+3.5%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
70.4% (27)
-20.4%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (39)
49.5% (196)
-3.3%
On power play, Smith has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Josefson is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (258).
Josefson shoots left. Smith is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Josefson
Smith
Home
53.7% (216)
49.9% (523)
Away
47.1% (138)
47.8% (467)
By Period
Josefson
Smith
P1
51.9%
47.5%
P2
50.8%
50.4%
P3
50.4%
48.4%
OT
100.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
52.0%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
51.1%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2012 | 3 | 07:32 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 3 | 07:26 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 2 | 12:23 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 2 | 12:19 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 2 | 09:42 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 1 | 16:16 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 1 | 13:36 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |