Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Peterson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Peterson wins 41.9% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Peterson 47.2% vs Frost 50.3% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 89.1%
Defensive zone
Frost 67.5%
Neutral zone
Frost 73.9%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 75.7%
24.3%
75.7%
Peterson
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Peterson
Frost
Last 5: Peterson 4-1 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Peterson
1
0
Peterson
Frost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Peterson
Frost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Peterson
3
0
Peterson
Frost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Peterson
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (155)
49.4% (3,598)
-1.7%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
55.5% (625)
-30.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (6)
52.8% (36)
-52.8%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +52.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Peterson is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (93).
Peterson shoots left. Frost is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Peterson
Frost
Home
44.0% (84)
51.0% (2,047)
Away
46.9% (81)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
Peterson
Frost
P1
45.9%
50.8%
P2
42.0%
51.1%
P3
48.1%
48.5%
Final 5 min
52.8%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Peterson
32.0%▼
45.5%
45.5%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Jacob Peterson |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 17:25 | Neutral | Jacob Peterson |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 01:51 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 01:33 | Neutral | Jacob Peterson |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 1 | 01:15 | Offensive | Jacob Peterson |