Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwartz 49.2% vs Pavelski 54.5% (-8.1%)
Offensive zone
Schwartz 54.6%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 57.2%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 52.3%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Schwartz
Pavelski
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwartz
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (28)
53.6% (657)
-3.6%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
60.2% (221)
-26.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
51.7% (60)
-51.7%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +51.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Schwartz is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (14).
Schwartz shoots left. Pavelski is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (731).
Home / Away
Schwartz
Pavelski
Home
33.3% (6)
57.4% (470)
Away
50.0% (26)
52.6% (468)
By Period
Schwartz
Pavelski
P1
50.0%
53.4%
P2
61.5%
55.6%
P3
28.6%
55.5%
OT
0.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
66.7%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwartz
62.0%▲
55.5%
46.9%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
55.0%