Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (58.5% vs 57.8%). Look for Washe on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Schwartz wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Washe shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwartz 52.9% vs Washe 55.6% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schwartz 87.1%
Defensive zone
Washe 67.1%
Neutral zone
Schwartz 52.4%
Result
Tim Washe favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Schwartz
Washe
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Schwartz
Washe
Last 5: Schwartz 1-4 Washe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schwartz
1
0
Schwartz
Washe
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Washe
0
4
Schwartz
Washe
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwartz
Washe
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (38)
60.9% (207)
-0.4%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
100.0% (3)
-46.7%
On power play, Washe has a +46.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Washe shoots left. Schwartz is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (31).
Schwartz shoots left. Washe is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
Schwartz
Washe
Home
71.4% (21)
63.3% (120)
Away
50.0% (32)
52.9% (138)
By Period
Schwartz
Washe
P1
60.9%
60.2%
P2
69.2%
61.0%
P3
47.1%
53.6%
Final 5 min
76.9%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwartz
58.0%▲
53.5%
58.5%
Washe
52.0%▼
58.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 07:27 | Defensive | Tim Washe |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 12:54 | Defensive | Tim Washe |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 07:55 | Defensive | Tim Washe |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 04:57 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 11:01 | Defensive | Tim Washe |