Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.1% vs 47.7%). Pirri wins 40.0% vs left-shot opponents — Dowell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pirri 49.4% vs Dowell 48.5% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pirri 58.3%
Defensive zone
Dowell 60.0%
Neutral zone
Dowell 62.9%
Result
Jake Dowell favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Pirri
Dowell
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Pirri
Dowell
Last 5: Pirri 2-3 Dowell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pirri
2
0
Pirri
Dowell
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowell
0
1
Pirri
Dowell
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowell
0
2
Pirri
Dowell
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pirri
Dowell
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (53)
46.1% (180)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
62.5% (16)
-62.5%
On penalty kill, Dowell has a +62.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowell shoots left. Pirri is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (40).
Pirri shoots left. Dowell is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (146).
Home / Away
Pirri
Dowell
Home
50.0% (42)
49.5% (107)
Away
41.7% (12)
45.6% (90)
By Period
Pirri
Dowell
P1
57.1%
52.3%
P2
35.3%
44.3%
P3
50.0%
46.8%
Final 5 min
58.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pirri
50.0%▼
55.0%
48.1%
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2011 | 3 | 16:28 | Offensive | Brandon Pirri |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 3 | 05:09 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 2 | 12:54 | Offensive | Brandon Pirri |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 2 | 09:54 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 1 | 13:58 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |