Scouting Report
Jake Dowell holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowell on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Backes wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Dowell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 44.9% vs Dowell 49.1% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Dowell leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 56.5%
Defensive zone
Backes 57.4%
Neutral zone
Backes 56.5%
Result
David Backes favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Backes
Dowell
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Backes
Dowell
Last 10: Backes 3-7 Dowell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowell
1
2
Backes
Dowell
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowell
1
3
Backes
Dowell
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowell
1
2
Backes
Dowell
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Dowell
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (819)
49.9% (573)
-4.6%
Power Play
42.1% (190)
33.3% (12)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (111)
43.8% (64)
-3.3%
On power play, Backes has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowell shoots left. Backes is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (907).
Backes shoots right. Dowell is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Backes
Dowell
Home
42.9% (581)
52.5% (303)
Away
46.1% (557)
45.8% (349)
By Period
Backes
Dowell
P1
40.1%
49.5%
P2
47.3%
47.0%
P3
45.1%
50.7%
OT
57.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
40.5%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
44.5%
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2011 | 3 | 08:30 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 3 | 02:33 | Offensive | Jake Dowell |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 2 | 18:27 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 2 | 13:23 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 1 | 03:50 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 21, 2011 | 2 | 16:36 | Offensive | Jake Dowell |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 3 | 12:02 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 2 | 04:39 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 30, 2010 | 3 | 11:20 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |