Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowell 48.8% vs McClement 52.7% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowell 81.2%
Defensive zone
Dowell 52.8%
Neutral zone
Dowell 69.2%
Result
Jake Dowell favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
Dowell
McClement
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Dowell
McClement
Last 8: Dowell 2-6 McClement
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McClement
2
4
Dowell
McClement
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
0
1
Dowell
McClement
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
0
1
Dowell
McClement
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowell
McClement
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (759)
54.4% (4,305)
-5.3%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
62.5% (104)
-24.0%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (81)
47.2% (1,440)
-0.3%
On power play, McClement has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McClement shoots left. Dowell is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Dowell shoots left. McClement is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
Home / Away
Dowell
McClement
Home
51.8% (413)
55.4% (2,788)
Away
45.8% (443)
50.4% (3,083)
By Period
Dowell
McClement
P1
50.4%
53.5%
P2
46.6%
52.0%
P3
49.7%
53.2%
OT
0.0%
47.9%
Final 5 min
47.6%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2011 | 3 | 09:21 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 2 | 03:05 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 1 | 09:29 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 1 | 01:09 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 2 | 16:10 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 30, 2010 | 2 | 11:14 | Offensive | Jake Dowell |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 2 | 03:39 | Offensive | Jake Dowell |