Scouting Report
Jake Dowell holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowell on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowell 48.8% vs Skinner 44.7% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 80.7%
Defensive zone
Dowell 92.5%
Neutral zone
Dowell 68.9%
Result
Jake Dowell favored at 68.9%
68.9%
31.1%
Dowell
Skinner
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Dowell
Skinner
Last 6: Dowell 6-0 Skinner
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowell
6
0
Dowell
Skinner
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowell
Skinner
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (759)
42.3% (1,317)
+6.8%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
52.0% (404)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (81)
33.3% (15)
+13.6%
On penalty kill, Dowell has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Skinner shoots left. Dowell is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Dowell shoots left. Skinner is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,097).
Home / Away
Dowell
Skinner
Home
51.8% (413)
48.2% (949)
Away
45.8% (443)
39.9% (791)
By Period
Dowell
Skinner
P1
50.4%
41.6%
P2
46.6%
46.0%
P3
49.7%
46.4%
OT
0.0%
23.5%
Final 5 min
47.6%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2011 | 3 | 07:22 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 3 | 03:57 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 2 | 04:11 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 1 | 10:29 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 1 | 07:33 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 1 | 01:16 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |