Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.7% vs 48.7%). Dowell wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Pederson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowell 48.8% vs Pederson 49.0% (+0.0%)
Offensive zone
Pederson 51.5%
Defensive zone
Dowell 55.7%
Neutral zone
Pederson 50.5%
Result
Jake Dowell favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Dowell
Pederson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowell
Pederson
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (759)
48.9% (323)
+0.2%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
47.4% (19)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (81)
44.4% (9)
+2.5%
On power play, Pederson has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pederson shoots right. Dowell is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (229).
Dowell shoots left. Pederson is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (263).
Home / Away
Dowell
Pederson
Home
51.8% (413)
53.1% (145)
Away
45.8% (443)
45.6% (206)
By Period
Dowell
Pederson
P1
50.4%
49.6%
P2
46.6%
45.8%
P3
49.7%
50.9%
Final 5 min
47.6%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Pederson
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.7%