Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Goc on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowell 48.8% vs Goc 52.3% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Goc leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Dowell 66.1%
Defensive zone
Dowell 52.7%
Neutral zone
Dowell 64.6%
Result
Jake Dowell favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Dowell
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Dowell
Goc
Last 10: Dowell 4-6 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goc
0
2
Dowell
Goc
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dowell
Goc
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goc
3
4
Dowell
Goc
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowell
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (759)
53.0% (3,301)
-3.9%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
58.0% (314)
-19.5%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (81)
47.4% (728)
-0.5%
On power play, Goc has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Dowell is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Dowell shoots left. Goc is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,768).
Home / Away
Dowell
Goc
Home
51.8% (413)
53.9% (2,079)
Away
45.8% (443)
51.0% (2,296)
By Period
Dowell
Goc
P1
50.4%
51.9%
P2
46.6%
53.1%
P3
49.7%
52.4%
OT
0.0%
44.9%
Final 5 min
47.6%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2011 | 3 | 02:19 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 1 | 15:46 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 3 | 09:46 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 10:15 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 14:59 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 3 | 10:23 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 3 | 17:26 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 3 | 04:44 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 2 | 06:41 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 1 | 10:35 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 1 | 07:42 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |