Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Goc on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowell 49.1% vs Goc 49.9% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowell 57.0%
Defensive zone
Dowell 61.9%
Neutral zone
Dowell 60.5%
Result
Jake Dowell favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Dowell
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Dowell
Goc
Last 9: Dowell 2-7 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goc
0
2
Dowell
Goc
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
0
1
Dowell
Goc
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goc
2
4
Dowell
Goc
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowell
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (573)
50.3% (590)
-0.4%
Power Play
33.3% (12)
47.3% (55)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (64)
46.2% (39)
-2.4%
On power play, Goc has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Dowell is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Dowell shoots left. Goc is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Dowell
Goc
Home
52.5% (303)
52.7% (283)
Away
45.8% (349)
48.0% (410)
By Period
Dowell
Goc
P1
49.5%
50.7%
P2
47.0%
50.7%
P3
50.7%
49.8%
OT
0.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2011 | 3 | 09:46 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 10:15 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 14:59 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 3 | 10:23 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 3 | 17:26 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 3 | 04:44 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 2 | 06:41 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 1 | 10:35 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 1 | 07:42 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |