Scouting Report
Jake Dowell holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowell on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowell 48.8% vs Talbot 47.0% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowell 66.0%
Defensive zone
Dowell 50.1%
Neutral zone
Dowell 59.3%
Result
Jake Dowell favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Dowell
Talbot
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Dowell
Talbot
Last 7: Dowell 6-1 Talbot
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dowell
Talbot
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowell
3
0
Dowell
Talbot
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowell
2
0
Dowell
Talbot
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowell
Talbot
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (759)
48.3% (1,738)
+0.8%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
49.0% (51)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (81)
42.3% (631)
+4.6%
On power play, Talbot has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Talbot shoots left. Dowell is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Dowell shoots left. Talbot is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,539).
Home / Away
Dowell
Talbot
Home
51.8% (413)
48.0% (1,219)
Away
45.8% (443)
45.8% (1,215)
By Period
Dowell
Talbot
P1
50.4%
48.7%
P2
46.6%
43.5%
P3
49.7%
48.6%
OT
0.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2011 | 3 | 13:15 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 3 | 10:14 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 2 | 06:36 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 2 | 01:49 | Offensive | Jake Dowell |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 1 | 16:18 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 1 | 16:08 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 1 | 08:10 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |