Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.9% vs 48.6%). Look for Dowell on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowell 49.1% vs Talbot 48.8% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Talbot 50.4%
Defensive zone
Talbot 55.9%
Neutral zone
Talbot 56.5%
Result
Max Talbot favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Dowell
Talbot
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Dowell
Talbot
Last 7: Dowell 6-1 Talbot
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dowell
Talbot
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowell
3
0
Dowell
Talbot
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowell
2
0
Dowell
Talbot
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowell
Talbot
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (573)
50.5% (642)
-0.6%
Power Play
33.3% (12)
33.3% (18)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (64)
43.5% (207)
+0.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Talbot shoots left. Dowell is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Dowell shoots left. Talbot is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (556).
Home / Away
Dowell
Talbot
Home
52.5% (303)
49.9% (427)
Away
45.8% (349)
47.4% (447)
By Period
Dowell
Talbot
P1
49.5%
48.4%
P2
47.0%
48.5%
P3
50.7%
48.8%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.9%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2011 | 3 | 13:15 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 3 | 10:14 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 2 | 06:36 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 2 | 01:49 | Offensive | Jake Dowell |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 1 | 16:18 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 1 | 16:08 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 1 | 08:10 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |