Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.7% vs 48.7%). Look for Berglund on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowell 48.8% vs Berglund 48.7% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowell 53.4%
Defensive zone
Dowell 58.8%
Neutral zone
Dowell 56.7%
Result
Jake Dowell favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Dowell
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Dowell
Berglund
Last 6: Dowell 2-4 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
1
2
Dowell
Berglund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowell
1
0
Dowell
Berglund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
0
2
Dowell
Berglund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowell
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (759)
49.0% (4,697)
+0.1%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
51.3% (548)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (81)
43.2% (461)
+3.7%
On power play, Berglund has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Dowell is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Dowell shoots left. Berglund is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,687).
Home / Away
Dowell
Berglund
Home
51.8% (413)
50.9% (2,829)
Away
45.8% (443)
46.6% (2,904)
By Period
Dowell
Berglund
P1
50.4%
49.3%
P2
46.6%
48.2%
P3
49.7%
49.0%
OT
0.0%
39.7%
Final 5 min
47.6%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2012 | 3 | 03:40 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 2 | 02:41 | Offensive | Jake Dowell |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 3 | 04:27 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 2 | 02:14 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 1 | 18:13 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 30, 2010 | 1 | 16:44 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |