Scouting Report
Jake Dowell holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowell on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Dowell wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Dupuis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowell 48.8% vs Dupuis 47.4% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowell 58.0%
Defensive zone
Dowell 55.7%
Neutral zone
Dowell 53.1%
Result
Jake Dowell favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Dowell
Dupuis
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Dowell
Dupuis
Last 6: Dowell 5-1 Dupuis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowell
1
0
Dowell
Dupuis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowell
1
0
Dowell
Dupuis
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowell
3
1
Dowell
Dupuis
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowell
Dupuis
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (759)
48.1% (310)
+1.0%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
58.3% (12)
-19.8%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (81)
38.5% (65)
+8.4%
On power play, Dupuis has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dupuis shoots right. Dowell is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (229).
Dowell shoots left. Dupuis is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (287).
Home / Away
Dowell
Dupuis
Home
51.8% (413)
45.0% (209)
Away
45.8% (443)
48.9% (180)
By Period
Dowell
Dupuis
P1
50.4%
48.8%
P2
46.6%
46.2%
P3
49.7%
45.0%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.6%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Dupuis
50.0%▲
44.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2011 | 2 | 02:47 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Jan 12, 2011 | 1 | 07:08 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Jan 12, 2011 | 1 | 02:45 | Neutral | Philippe Dupuis |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 1 | 12:31 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 1 | 03:26 | Offensive | Jake Dowell |
| Dec 13, 2010 | 3 | 13:42 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |