Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nichol on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Dowell wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Nichol shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowell 48.8% vs Nichol 58.2% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Nichol leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Dowell 77.8%
Defensive zone
Dowell 88.8%
Neutral zone
Dowell 80.3%
Result
Jake Dowell favored at 83.6%
83.6%
16.4%
Dowell
Nichol
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Dowell
Nichol
Last 10: Dowell 2-8 Nichol
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
0
4
Dowell
Nichol
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
1
6
Dowell
Nichol
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowell
3
1
Dowell
Nichol
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowell
Nichol
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (759)
59.0% (948)
-9.9%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
42.9% (14)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (81)
59.5% (185)
-12.6%
On penalty kill, Nichol has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nichol shoots right. Dowell is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (229).
Dowell shoots left. Nichol is 61.1% vs left-shot opponents (813).
Home / Away
Dowell
Nichol
Home
51.8% (413)
59.7% (576)
Away
45.8% (443)
58.1% (577)
By Period
Dowell
Nichol
P1
50.4%
58.4%
P2
46.6%
57.3%
P3
49.7%
61.1%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
61.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
58.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2012 | 3 | 13:55 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 3 | 02:35 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 1 | 01:49 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 2 | 17:19 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 2 | 07:06 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 1 | 13:24 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 2 | 02:20 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 1 | 07:06 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 2 | 05:25 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 1 | 18:23 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 3 | 12:04 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 2 | 18:17 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 2 | 18:10 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 2 | 18:01 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 1 | 02:50 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |