Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nichol on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowell 49.1% vs Nichol 57.8% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowell 67.1%
Defensive zone
Dowell 66.9%
Neutral zone
Dowell 66.1%
Result
Jake Dowell favored at 66.6%
66.6%
33.4%
Dowell
Nichol
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Dowell
Nichol
Last 9: Dowell 3-6 Nichol
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
0
1
Dowell
Nichol
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
1
4
Dowell
Nichol
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowell
2
1
Dowell
Nichol
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowell
Nichol
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (573)
58.6% (394)
-8.7%
Power Play
33.3% (12)
71.4% (7)
-38.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (64)
61.5% (78)
-17.7%
On power play, Nichol has a +38.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nichol shoots right. Dowell is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Dowell shoots left. Nichol is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (348).
Home / Away
Dowell
Nichol
Home
52.5% (303)
56.1% (246)
Away
45.8% (349)
62.8% (239)
By Period
Dowell
Nichol
P1
49.5%
57.7%
P2
47.0%
58.1%
P3
50.7%
62.8%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2010 | 2 | 02:20 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 1 | 07:06 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 2 | 05:25 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 1 | 18:23 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 3 | 12:04 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 2 | 18:17 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 2 | 18:10 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 2 | 18:01 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 1 | 02:50 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |