Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nichol on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dowell wins 37.3% vs right-shot opponents — Nichol shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowell 48.5% vs Nichol 56.2% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowell 70.2%
Defensive zone
Dowell 74.6%
Neutral zone
Dowell 74.5%
Result
Jake Dowell favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Dowell
Nichol
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Dowell
Nichol
Last 6: Dowell 1-5 Nichol
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
0
3
Dowell
Nichol
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
0
2
Dowell
Nichol
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowell
1
0
Dowell
Nichol
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowell
Nichol
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (180)
58.0% (371)
-11.9%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
25.0% (4)
+75.0%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (16)
57.3% (75)
+5.2%
On power play, Dowell has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nichol shoots right. Dowell is 37.3% vs right-shot opponents (51).
Dowell shoots left. Nichol is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (311).
Home / Away
Dowell
Nichol
Home
49.5% (107)
58.6% (215)
Away
45.6% (90)
56.6% (235)
By Period
Dowell
Nichol
P1
52.3%
56.1%
P2
44.3%
58.4%
P3
46.8%
57.8%
Final 5 min
50.0%
62.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
47.7%
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2012 | 3 | 13:55 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 3 | 02:35 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 1 | 01:49 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 2 | 17:19 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 2 | 07:06 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 1 | 13:24 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |