Scouting Report
Jake Dowell holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowell on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowell 48.8% vs Galiardi 43.7% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowell 57.6%
Defensive zone
Dowell 69.5%
Neutral zone
Dowell 58.7%
Result
Jake Dowell favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Dowell
Galiardi
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Dowell
Galiardi
Last 7: Dowell 4-3 Galiardi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Galiardi
0
2
Dowell
Galiardi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowell
1
0
Dowell
Galiardi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowell
3
1
Dowell
Galiardi
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowell
Galiardi
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (759)
42.0% (388)
+7.1%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
48.1% (27)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (81)
42.9% (70)
+4.0%
On power play, Galiardi has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Galiardi shoots left. Dowell is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Dowell shoots left. Galiardi is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Dowell
Galiardi
Home
51.8% (413)
44.6% (271)
Away
45.8% (443)
39.5% (215)
By Period
Dowell
Galiardi
P1
50.4%
39.1%
P2
46.6%
45.3%
P3
49.7%
42.2%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
38.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Galiardi
36.0%▼
38.5%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2012 | 2 | 16:15 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 2 | 11:31 | Offensive | TJ Galiardi |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 3 | 02:18 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 3 | 01:57 | Neutral | TJ Galiardi |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 2 | 15:55 | Offensive | TJ Galiardi |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 1 | 15:03 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Oct 7, 2010 | 2 | 15:52 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |