Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.7% vs 48.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowell 48.8% vs Marchant 48.3% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowell 67.3%
Defensive zone
Marchant 62.4%
Neutral zone
Dowell 55.6%
Result
Jake Dowell favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Dowell
Marchant
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Dowell
Marchant
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowell
2
0
Dowell
Marchant
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowell
Marchant
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (759)
50.5% (368)
-1.4%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
28.6% (7)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (81)
42.4% (158)
+4.5%
On power play, Dowell has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchant shoots left. Dowell is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Dowell shoots left. Marchant is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (399).
Home / Away
Dowell
Marchant
Home
51.8% (413)
50.3% (302)
Away
45.8% (443)
45.1% (246)
By Period
Dowell
Marchant
P1
50.4%
46.3%
P2
46.6%
49.7%
P3
49.7%
48.1%
OT
0.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
47.6%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Marchant
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2011 | 1 | 08:33 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 1 | 18:08 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |