Scouting Report
Vladimir Sobotka holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Sobotka on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowell 49.1% vs Sobotka 51.3% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Sobotka leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Dowell 63.1%
Defensive zone
Dowell 60.8%
Neutral zone
Dowell 63.5%
Result
Jake Dowell favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Dowell
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Dowell
Sobotka
Last 10: Dowell 3-7 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowell
3
1
Dowell
Sobotka
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sobotka
0
4
Dowell
Sobotka
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sobotka
2
5
Dowell
Sobotka
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowell
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (573)
55.4% (323)
-5.5%
Power Play
33.3% (12)
42.9% (28)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (64)
38.5% (65)
+5.3%
On power play, Sobotka has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. Dowell is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Dowell shoots left. Sobotka is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Dowell
Sobotka
Home
52.5% (303)
52.1% (213)
Away
45.8% (349)
51.0% (206)
By Period
Dowell
Sobotka
P1
49.5%
51.2%
P2
47.0%
49.0%
P3
50.7%
54.0%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.9%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2011 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Jake Dowell |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 2 | 17:48 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 1 | 16:52 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Feb 21, 2011 | 3 | 04:44 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Feb 21, 2011 | 2 | 06:44 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Feb 21, 2011 | 2 | 03:30 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Feb 21, 2011 | 1 | 17:46 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Feb 21, 2011 | 1 | 15:54 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 2 | 07:10 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 2 | 13:10 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 2 | 09:35 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Oct 18, 2010 | 2 | 17:00 | Offensive | Jake Dowell |
| Oct 18, 2010 | 1 | 12:06 | Offensive | Jake Dowell |
| Oct 18, 2010 | 1 | 06:39 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Oct 18, 2010 | 1 | 06:20 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |