Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.9% vs 52.2%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.8% vs Evans 52.2% (-0.3%)
Offensive zone
Evans 51.5%
Defensive zone
Smith 53.6%
Neutral zone
Smith 50.7%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Smith
Evans
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (1,269)
53.8% (3,695)
-0.1%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
60.0% (70)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (369)
47.1% (1,222)
-1.6%
On power play, Evans has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Smith is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (501).
Smith shoots right. Evans is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,292).
Home / Away
Smith
Evans
Home
53.8% (860)
53.4% (2,593)
Away
49.8% (805)
51.0% (2,394)
By Period
Smith
Evans
P1
52.1%
54.0%
P2
50.2%
50.9%
P3
53.3%
52.0%
OT
62.5%
46.5%
Final 5 min
53.0%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%