Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.2% vs Evans 52.2% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Sutter 63.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 51.6%
Neutral zone
Sutter 53.6%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Sutter
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Sutter
Evans
Last 10: Sutter 3-7 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
4
Sutter
Evans
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Sutter
Evans
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Sutter
Evans
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (7,610)
53.8% (3,695)
-2.9%
Power Play
52.8% (627)
60.0% (70)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (1,797)
47.1% (1,222)
-0.7%
On power play, Evans has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Sutter is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (3,385).
Sutter shoots right. Evans is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,292).
Home / Away
Sutter
Evans
Home
50.6% (5,050)
53.4% (2,593)
Away
49.8% (5,033)
51.0% (2,394)
By Period
Sutter
Evans
P1
48.7%
54.0%
P2
50.3%
50.9%
P3
51.5%
52.0%
OT
50.0%
46.5%
Final 5 min
49.4%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 00:55 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 1 | 17:49 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 1 | 10:47 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 2 | 14:25 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 2 | 14:11 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 3 | 08:43 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 18:07 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 14:49 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 11:07 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 3 | 06:28 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 17:13 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 17:06 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 2 | 11:42 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 1 | 12:47 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 02:01 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 01:37 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 1 | 05:01 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |