Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Sutter wins 62.2% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 54.6% vs Evans 50.1% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Evans 68.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 54.7%
Neutral zone
Evans 60.3%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Sutter
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Sutter
Evans
Last 10: Sutter 3-7 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
4
Sutter
Evans
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Sutter
Evans
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Sutter
Evans
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (390)
52.2% (320)
+3.2%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
100.0% (2)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
54.7% (95)
41.0% (83)
+13.7%
On power play, Evans has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Sutter is 62.2% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Sutter shoots right. Evans is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Sutter
Evans
Home
57.3% (260)
54.3% (223)
Away
53.6% (237)
45.1% (182)
By Period
Sutter
Evans
P1
54.4%
53.9%
P2
57.3%
44.9%
P3
54.8%
52.5%
Final 5 min
51.1%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
55.5%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 00:55 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 1 | 17:49 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 1 | 10:47 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 2 | 14:25 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 2 | 14:11 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 3 | 08:43 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 18:07 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 14:49 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 11:07 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 3 | 06:28 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 17:13 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 17:06 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 2 | 11:42 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 1 | 12:47 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 02:01 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 01:37 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 1 | 05:01 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |