Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for White on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). White wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
White 45.4% vs Evans 52.2% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
White leads 15-9 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Evans 54.0%
Defensive zone
Evans 95.0%
Neutral zone
Evans 86.0%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 82.3%
17.7%
82.3%
White
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
9
(24 meetings)
15
9
White
Evans
Last 10: White 6-4 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: White
4
1
White
Evans
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: White
5
3
White
Evans
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: White
6
5
White
Evans
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
White
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (2,090)
53.8% (3,695)
-9.2%
Power Play
51.2% (242)
60.0% (70)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (40)
47.1% (1,222)
-9.6%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. White is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (680).
White shoots right. Evans is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,292).
Home / Away
White
Evans
Home
46.2% (1,138)
53.4% (2,593)
Away
44.2% (1,234)
51.0% (2,394)
By Period
White
Evans
P1
45.9%
54.0%
P2
44.6%
50.9%
P3
45.3%
52.0%
OT
33.3%
46.5%
Final 5 min
45.3%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
White
34.0%▼
40.0%
45.2%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 05:10 | Defensive | Colin White |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 06:54 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 02:30 | Defensive | Colin White |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 03:59 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 07:18 | Neutral | Colin White |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 01:40 | Offensive | Colin White |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 15:20 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 06:23 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 10:00 | Offensive | Colin White |
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 13:52 | Offensive | Colin White |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 14:25 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 06:15 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 05:51 | Neutral | Colin White |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 03:03 | Defensive | Colin White |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 01:42 | Offensive | Colin White |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 2 | 00:48 | Neutral | Colin White |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 2 | 06:29 | Neutral | Colin White |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 3 | 17:32 | Defensive | Colin White |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 2 | 14:16 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 1 | 18:27 | Defensive | Colin White |