Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 52.4%). Look for Evans on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Faksa 52.4% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Faksa 51.8%
Defensive zone
Evans 50.0%
Neutral zone
Faksa 52.3%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Evans
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Evans
Faksa
Last 7: Evans 6-1 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Faksa
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
Faksa
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
3
1
Evans
Faksa
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,695)
52.8% (6,681)
+1.0%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
57.7% (291)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,222)
49.3% (1,372)
-2.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Evans shoots right. Faksa is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,151).
Home / Away
Evans
Faksa
Home
53.4% (2,593)
52.9% (4,092)
Away
51.0% (2,394)
51.9% (4,252)
By Period
Evans
Faksa
P1
54.0%
53.0%
P2
50.9%
52.5%
P3
52.0%
52.0%
OT
46.5%
45.3%
Final 5 min
50.4%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 04:09 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 16:03 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 17:31 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 02:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 10:33 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |