Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.1% vs 46.0%). Wilson wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Guentzel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wilson 46.4% vs Guentzel 46.3% (+0.1%)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 51.7%
Defensive zone
Wilson 62.4%
Neutral zone
Wilson 54.7%
Result
Colin Wilson favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Wilson
Guentzel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wilson
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (845)
46.3% (685)
-1.3%
Power Play
50.4% (244)
45.7% (291)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
42.9% (42)
-9.6%
On penalty kill, Guentzel has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Wilson is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Wilson shoots left. Guentzel is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (638).
Home / Away
Wilson
Guentzel
Home
46.1% (531)
48.3% (544)
Away
46.1% (564)
43.2% (474)
By Period
Wilson
Guentzel
P1
46.6%
47.8%
P2
43.2%
45.2%
P3
48.8%
45.3%
OT
45.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wilson
38.0%▼
47.0%
46.1%
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.0%