Scouting Report
Teddy Blueger holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Guentzel wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 46.3% vs Blueger 50.0% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 89.4%
Defensive zone
Blueger 92.7%
Neutral zone
Blueger 54.2%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Guentzel
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Guentzel
Blueger
Last 8: Guentzel 4-4 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
3
0
Guentzel
Blueger
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
4
Guentzel
Blueger
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Guentzel
1
0
Guentzel
Blueger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (685)
52.3% (3,540)
-6.0%
Power Play
45.7% (291)
50.0% (76)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (42)
42.6% (1,100)
+0.3%
On even strength, Blueger has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Guentzel is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (638).
Guentzel shoots left. Blueger is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,198).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Blueger
Home
48.3% (544)
51.4% (2,403)
Away
43.2% (474)
48.6% (2,313)
By Period
Guentzel
Blueger
P1
47.8%
49.2%
P2
45.2%
52.3%
P3
45.3%
48.5%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
42.5%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.0%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 14:09 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Guentzel |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 16:13 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 05:08 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 15:59 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 12:21 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 01:02 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 00:59 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |