Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.2% vs 48.4%). Look for Leschyshyn on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Leschyshyn 48.5% vs Roy 48.4% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Leschyshyn 52.7%
Defensive zone
Roy 62.2%
Neutral zone
Roy 51.9%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Leschyshyn
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Leschyshyn
Roy
Last 5: Leschyshyn 4-1 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Leschyshyn
2
0
Leschyshyn
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Leschyshyn
2
1
Leschyshyn
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Leschyshyn
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (480)
48.7% (3,719)
-0.6%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
49.5% (283)
+21.9%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
45.5% (477)
-9.1%
On power play, Leschyshyn has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Leschyshyn is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (187).
Leschyshyn shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Home / Away
Leschyshyn
Roy
Home
51.3% (234)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
45.5% (264)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Leschyshyn
Roy
P1
45.3%
50.8%
P2
47.4%
46.3%
P3
51.4%
48.1%
Final 5 min
51.4%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Leschyshyn
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.2%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 00:02 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Leschyshyn |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 16:51 | Offensive | Jake Leschyshyn |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | Jake Leschyshyn |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Leschyshyn |