Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Leschyshyn 48.5% vs Nosek 53.6% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Leschyshyn 65.8%
Defensive zone
Leschyshyn 60.0%
Neutral zone
Leschyshyn 61.3%
Result
Jake Leschyshyn favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Leschyshyn
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Leschyshyn
Nosek
Last 8: Leschyshyn 3-5 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
3
5
Leschyshyn
Nosek
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Leschyshyn
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (480)
54.9% (2,674)
-6.8%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
44.7% (47)
+26.7%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
47.4% (424)
-11.0%
On power play, Leschyshyn has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Leschyshyn is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (311).
Leschyshyn shoots left. Nosek is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,942).
Home / Away
Leschyshyn
Nosek
Home
51.3% (234)
52.7% (1,631)
Away
45.5% (264)
54.8% (1,514)
By Period
Leschyshyn
Nosek
P1
45.3%
52.3%
P2
47.4%
54.0%
P3
51.4%
54.6%
Final 5 min
51.4%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Leschyshyn
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.2%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 09:04 | Neutral | Jake Leschyshyn |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 02:10 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 09:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 03:54 | Neutral | Jake Leschyshyn |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 14:54 | Neutral | Jake Leschyshyn |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 02:20 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 1 | 14:01 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 1 | 05:04 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |