Auston Matthews vs Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 51.9% vs Karlsson 44.5% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 90.5%
Defensive zone
Matthews 92.2%
Neutral zone
Matthews 87.2%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 90.6%
90.6%
9.4%
Matthews
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Matthews
Karlsson
Last 6: Matthews 5-1 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
1
Matthews
Karlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (892)
42.2% (223)
+10.2%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
0.0% (1)
+45.5%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
50.0% (2)
-12.5%
On power play, Matthews has a +45.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots right. Matthews is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Matthews shoots left. Karlsson is 39.1% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Home / Away
Matthews
Karlsson
Home
54.3% (420)
42.9% (133)
Away
50.3% (491)
40.9% (93)
By Period
Matthews
Karlsson
P1
54.2%
31.1%
P2
54.3%
53.5%
P3
47.8%
39.0%
OT
55.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.8%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.1%
Karlsson
46.0%▲
42.5%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 09:30 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 09:36 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 3 | 16:18 | Defensive | Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 3 | 05:22 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 1 | 08:23 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |