Derek Stepan vs Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.5% vs Karlsson 44.5% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 67.5%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 51.8%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 60.2%
Result
Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Stepan
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Stepan
Karlsson
Last 5: Stepan 1-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Stepan
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Stepan
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (991)
42.2% (223)
+4.6%
Power Play
48.8% (211)
0.0% (1)
+48.8%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (174)
50.0% (2)
-1.7%
On power play, Stepan has a +48.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots right. Stepan is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (418).
Stepan shoots right. Karlsson is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Home / Away
Stepan
Karlsson
Home
48.6% (666)
42.9% (133)
Away
46.1% (710)
40.9% (93)
By Period
Stepan
Karlsson
P1
46.3%
31.1%
P2
50.7%
53.5%
P3
45.5%
39.0%
OT
39.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.3%
Karlsson
46.0%▲
42.5%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2018 | 1 | 14:13 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 1 | 01:17 | Offensive | Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 08:37 | Neutral | Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 2 | 05:10 | Defensive | Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 01:12 | Neutral | Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson |