Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson vs Nic Dowd
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Karlsson 44.5% vs Dowd 50.8% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 92.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 88.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 53.4%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Karlsson
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Karlsson
Dowd
Last 6: Karlsson 3-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Karlsson
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Karlsson
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
2
1
Karlsson
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Karlsson
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
42.2% (225)
52.6% (5,850)
-10.4%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
56.1% (164)
-56.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
43.9% (1,600)
+6.1%
On power play, Dowd has a +56.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Karlsson is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Karlsson shoots right. Dowd is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,600).
Home / Away
Karlsson
Dowd
Home
43.0% (135)
52.1% (3,753)
Away
40.9% (93)
49.6% (3,862)
By Period
Karlsson
Dowd
P1
30.6%
51.9%
P2
54.0%
50.7%
P3
39.0%
50.1%
OT
0.0%
45.9%
Final 5 min
40.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Karlsson
46.0%▲
42.5%
42.1%
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 06:09 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 06:02 | Neutral | Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 17:31 | Defensive | Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 17:15 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 02:38 | Neutral | Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 06:38 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |