Scouting Report
Jamal Mayers holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Mayers on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Backes wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Mayers shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 48.7% vs Mayers 55.2% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 63.5%
Defensive zone
Backes 65.1%
Neutral zone
Backes 65.3%
Result
David Backes favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
Backes
Mayers
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Backes
Mayers
Last 6: Backes 1-5 Mayers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mayers
0
1
Backes
Mayers
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mayers
1
3
Backes
Mayers
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mayers
0
1
Backes
Mayers
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Mayers
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (967)
57.3% (459)
-8.2%
Power Play
48.1% (189)
46.4% (28)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (168)
52.9% (70)
-7.7%
On even strength, Mayers has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mayers shoots right. Backes is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Backes shoots right. Mayers is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (146).
Home / Away
Backes
Mayers
Home
48.1% (690)
61.6% (263)
Away
49.2% (663)
51.2% (295)
By Period
Backes
Mayers
P1
49.0%
56.1%
P2
50.2%
55.7%
P3
47.5%
56.2%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
48.6%
Mayers
52.0%▼
61.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2012 | 1 | 13:56 | Neutral | Jamal Mayers |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 3 | 09:29 | Defensive | Jamal Mayers |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 2 | 17:22 | Offensive | Jamal Mayers |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 1 | 18:12 | Defensive | Jamal Mayers |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 1 | 13:46 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 03:08 | Defensive | Jamal Mayers |