Scouting Report
Jamal Mayers holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Mayers on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Mayers wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Arnott shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mayers 54.9% vs Arnott 50.3% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mayers 53.0%
Defensive zone
Mayers 83.1%
Neutral zone
Mayers 78.2%
Result
Jamal Mayers favored at 77.6%
77.6%
22.4%
Mayers
Arnott
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Mayers
Arnott
Last 9: Mayers 6-3 Arnott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mayers
1
0
Mayers
Arnott
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mayers
3
1
Mayers
Arnott
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Mayers
Arnott
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mayers
Arnott
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (612)
49.7% (1,444)
+7.0%
Power Play
46.9% (32)
53.8% (182)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
52.3% (88)
40.0% (15)
+12.3%
On penalty kill, Mayers has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arnott shoots right. Mayers is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Mayers shoots right. Arnott is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (488).
Home / Away
Mayers
Arnott
Home
61.7% (339)
52.1% (891)
Away
50.4% (395)
48.2% (772)
By Period
Mayers
Arnott
P1
55.0%
46.1%
P2
55.4%
53.6%
P3
56.1%
50.1%
OT
100.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
55.3%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mayers
52.0%▼
61.0%
55.6%
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2012 | 2 | 13:03 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 2 | 08:22 | Defensive | Jamal Mayers |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 2 | 04:18 | Offensive | Jamal Mayers |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 1 | 04:26 | Defensive | Jamal Mayers |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 1 | 15:59 | Neutral | Jamal Mayers |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 3 | 19:45 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 3 | 05:22 | Defensive | Jamal Mayers |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Jamal Mayers |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 1 | 16:58 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |