Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.1% vs 56.1%). Look for Mayers on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Mayers wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Smithson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mayers 55.2% vs Smithson 55.3% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Mayers leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Mayers 66.2%
Defensive zone
Smithson 72.9%
Neutral zone
Mayers 50.1%
Result
Jerred Smithson favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Mayers
Smithson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Mayers
Smithson
Last 10: Mayers 7-3 Smithson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Mayers
Smithson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mayers
4
1
Mayers
Smithson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mayers
1
0
Mayers
Smithson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mayers
Smithson
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (459)
57.9% (518)
-0.6%
Power Play
46.4% (28)
40.0% (10)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (70)
50.0% (108)
+2.9%
On power play, Mayers has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smithson shoots right. Mayers is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (146).
Mayers shoots right. Smithson is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Mayers
Smithson
Home
61.6% (263)
57.8% (306)
Away
51.2% (295)
54.6% (339)
By Period
Mayers
Smithson
P1
56.1%
51.8%
P2
55.7%
54.8%
P3
56.2%
62.0%
OT
100.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
58.1%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mayers
52.0%▼
61.0%
56.1%
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2012 | 3 | 05:07 | Offensive | Jamal Mayers |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 19:40 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 03:37 | Defensive | Jamal Mayers |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 03:24 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 11:29 | Offensive | Jamal Mayers |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 06:37 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 06:17 | Defensive | Jamal Mayers |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 02:08 | Neutral | Jamal Mayers |
| Oct 31, 2011 | 3 | 03:25 | Defensive | Jamal Mayers |
| Oct 31, 2011 | 1 | 15:42 | Defensive | Jamal Mayers |