Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sheppard 50.1% vs Thompson 52.5% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 64.8%
Defensive zone
Thompson 71.9%
Neutral zone
Thompson 69.2%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 71.0%
29.0%
71.0%
Sheppard
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Sheppard
Thompson
Last 6: Sheppard 4-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Sheppard
Thompson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sheppard
2
0
Sheppard
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sheppard
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (518)
54.4% (870)
-4.2%
Power Play
44.1% (34)
45.8% (24)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (3)
45.1% (162)
+54.9%
On penalty kill, Sheppard has a +54.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Sheppard is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (319).
Sheppard shoots left. Thompson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Home / Away
Sheppard
Thompson
Home
50.3% (324)
55.3% (510)
Away
49.8% (231)
50.4% (546)
By Period
Sheppard
Thompson
P1
49.7%
53.5%
P2
46.9%
52.2%
P3
53.8%
52.7%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sheppard
48.0%▬
47.0%
50.1%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2014 | 2 | 12:58 | Defensive | James Sheppard |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 1 | 16:35 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 3 | 16:05 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 1 | 18:30 | Neutral | James Sheppard |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 19:47 | Defensive | James Sheppard |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 19:40 | Neutral | James Sheppard |