Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sheppard 48.7% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sheppard 84.0%
Defensive zone
Sheppard 51.7%
Neutral zone
Sheppard 63.0%
Result
James Sheppard favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Sheppard
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Sheppard
Gaustad
Last 6: Sheppard 2-4 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sheppard
Gaustad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
3
Sheppard
Gaustad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sheppard
1
0
Sheppard
Gaustad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sheppard
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (744)
58.2% (4,334)
-9.8%
Power Play
47.8% (46)
65.4% (188)
-17.6%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
54.8% (1,290)
+20.2%
On penalty kill, Sheppard has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Sheppard is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Sheppard shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
Sheppard
Gaustad
Home
49.4% (474)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
47.2% (320)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Sheppard
Gaustad
P1
47.8%
58.2%
P2
44.9%
56.4%
P3
52.8%
58.3%
OT
66.7%
66.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sheppard
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.5%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2015 | 1 | 14:12 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 16:29 | Offensive | James Sheppard |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 08:10 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 2 | 16:26 | Neutral | James Sheppard |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 2 | 16:16 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 1 | 17:02 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |