Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Sheppard wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sheppard 46.5% vs Gaustad 57.4% (-12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sheppard 80.9%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 80.8%
Neutral zone
Sheppard 50.3%
Result
James Sheppard favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Sheppard
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Sheppard
Gaustad
Last 5: Sheppard 2-3 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sheppard
Gaustad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
2
Sheppard
Gaustad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sheppard
1
0
Sheppard
Gaustad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sheppard
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (221)
59.3% (913)
-15.0%
Power Play
63.6% (11)
72.2% (18)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
52.8% (269)
-52.8%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +52.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Sheppard is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (130).
Sheppard shoots left. Gaustad is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Sheppard
Gaustad
Home
47.6% (147)
58.6% (604)
Away
40.7% (86)
57.4% (596)
By Period
Sheppard
Gaustad
P1
42.9%
61.5%
P2
40.3%
55.7%
P3
51.9%
56.6%
Final 5 min
44.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sheppard
48.0%▬
47.0%
45.1%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 16:29 | Offensive | James Sheppard |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 08:10 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 2 | 16:26 | Neutral | James Sheppard |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 2 | 16:16 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 1 | 17:02 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |