Scouting Report
Peter Holland holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Sheppard on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sheppard wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Holland shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sheppard 46.5% vs Holland 46.9% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sheppard 54.1%
Defensive zone
Holland 61.5%
Neutral zone
Holland 50.7%
Result
Peter Holland favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Sheppard
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Sheppard
Holland
Last 5: Sheppard 4-1 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sheppard
1
0
Sheppard
Holland
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Holland
0
1
Sheppard
Holland
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sheppard
3
0
Sheppard
Holland
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sheppard
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (221)
46.0% (374)
-1.7%
Power Play
63.6% (11)
55.6% (18)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
0.0% (3)
+0.0%
On power play, Sheppard has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Sheppard is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (130).
Sheppard shoots left. Holland is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Sheppard
Holland
Home
47.6% (147)
46.7% (225)
Away
40.7% (86)
45.3% (170)
By Period
Sheppard
Holland
P1
42.9%
48.2%
P2
40.3%
47.1%
P3
51.9%
41.9%
Final 5 min
44.0%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sheppard
48.0%▬
47.0%
45.1%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2014 | 3 | 06:36 | Neutral | James Sheppard |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 2 | 06:10 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 1 | 09:37 | Offensive | James Sheppard |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 1 | 03:58 | Neutral | James Sheppard |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 1 | 01:14 | Neutral | James Sheppard |