Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sheppard 48.7% vs Kesler 55.9% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sheppard 80.9%
Defensive zone
Sheppard 83.4%
Neutral zone
Sheppard 81.2%
Result
James Sheppard favored at 82.3%
82.3%
17.7%
Sheppard
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Sheppard
Kesler
Last 6: Sheppard 0-6 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Sheppard
Kesler
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
3
Sheppard
Kesler
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Sheppard
Kesler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sheppard
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (744)
56.4% (8,095)
-8.0%
Power Play
47.8% (46)
60.7% (1,437)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
50.5% (1,908)
+24.5%
On penalty kill, Sheppard has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Sheppard is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Sheppard shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Sheppard
Kesler
Home
49.4% (474)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
47.2% (320)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Sheppard
Kesler
P1
47.8%
56.5%
P2
44.9%
55.9%
P3
52.8%
56.1%
OT
66.7%
46.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sheppard
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.5%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2014 | 3 | 01:59 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 2 | 19:22 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 2 | 15:07 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 1 | 16:42 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 06:00 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 05:05 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |