Scouting Report
James Sheppard holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sheppard 48.7% vs Gagner 46.0% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 74.8%
Defensive zone
Sheppard 52.1%
Neutral zone
Gagner 52.5%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Sheppard
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Sheppard
Gagner
Last 10: Sheppard 5-5 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
6
Sheppard
Gagner
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheppard
2
1
Sheppard
Gagner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Sheppard
Gagner
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sheppard
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (744)
45.4% (4,699)
+3.0%
Power Play
47.8% (46)
51.5% (928)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
35.0% (226)
+40.0%
On penalty kill, Sheppard has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Sheppard is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Sheppard shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Sheppard
Gagner
Home
49.4% (474)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
47.2% (320)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Sheppard
Gagner
P1
47.8%
44.6%
P2
44.9%
46.1%
P3
52.8%
47.3%
OT
66.7%
42.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sheppard
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.5%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2015 | 2 | 08:09 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 2 | 12:56 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 2 | 03:07 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 2 | 00:30 | Neutral | James Sheppard |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 1 | 15:05 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 1 | 09:30 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 1 | 06:39 | Defensive | James Sheppard |
| Nov 22, 2014 | OT | 03:14 | Offensive | James Sheppard |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 3 | 11:07 | Neutral | James Sheppard |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 3 | 07:47 | Neutral | James Sheppard |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 2 | 11:26 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 1, 2014 | 3 | 10:35 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 1, 2014 | 3 | 06:49 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 1, 2014 | 1 | 16:16 | Defensive | James Sheppard |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 3 | 19:08 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 3 | 15:34 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |