Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Sheppard wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sheppard 46.5% vs Gagner 47.1% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 56.3%
Defensive zone
Sheppard 57.6%
Neutral zone
Sheppard 59.8%
Result
James Sheppard favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Sheppard
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Sheppard
Gagner
Last 5: Sheppard 1-4 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Sheppard
Gagner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sheppard
Gagner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
2
Sheppard
Gagner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sheppard
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (221)
45.9% (815)
-1.6%
Power Play
63.6% (11)
55.3% (132)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
25.0% (16)
-25.0%
On penalty kill, Gagner has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Sheppard is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (103).
Sheppard shoots left. Gagner is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Home / Away
Sheppard
Gagner
Home
47.6% (147)
48.7% (542)
Away
40.7% (86)
44.4% (421)
By Period
Sheppard
Gagner
P1
42.9%
45.1%
P2
40.3%
46.6%
P3
51.9%
49.7%
Final 5 min
44.0%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sheppard
48.0%▬
47.0%
45.1%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2014 | 3 | 10:35 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 1, 2014 | 3 | 06:49 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 1, 2014 | 1 | 16:16 | Defensive | James Sheppard |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 3 | 19:08 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 3 | 15:34 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |