Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 49.3%). Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sheppard 50.1% vs Monahan 49.3% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 56.2%
Defensive zone
Sheppard 59.1%
Neutral zone
Monahan 50.4%
Result
James Sheppard favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Sheppard
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Sheppard
Monahan
Last 7: Sheppard 0-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Sheppard
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Sheppard
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Sheppard
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sheppard
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (518)
49.0% (1,435)
+1.2%
Power Play
44.1% (34)
50.2% (281)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (3)
50.9% (114)
+49.1%
On penalty kill, Sheppard has a +49.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Sheppard is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (319).
Sheppard shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Home / Away
Sheppard
Monahan
Home
50.3% (324)
51.2% (936)
Away
49.8% (231)
47.3% (894)
By Period
Sheppard
Monahan
P1
49.7%
48.8%
P2
46.9%
48.9%
P3
53.8%
50.2%
OT
66.7%
48.5%
Final 5 min
47.6%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sheppard
48.0%▬
47.0%
50.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2015 | 3 | 18:29 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 9, 2015 | 3 | 02:52 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 4, 2015 | 1 | 02:34 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 3 | 07:16 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 13:10 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 19:01 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |