Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Wright wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wright 47.5% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wright 87.4%
Defensive zone
Wright 76.4%
Neutral zone
Wright 76.4%
Result
James Wright favored at 76.4%
76.4%
23.6%
Wright
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Wright
Gaustad
Last 8: Wright 2-6 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
2
6
Wright
Gaustad
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wright
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (194)
58.2% (4,334)
-8.7%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
65.4% (188)
-65.4%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (122)
54.8% (1,290)
-12.2%
On power play, Gaustad has a +65.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Wright is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (193).
Wright shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
Wright
Gaustad
Home
48.7% (156)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
44.7% (161)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Wright
Gaustad
P1
49.5%
58.2%
P2
40.0%
56.4%
P3
51.0%
58.3%
OT
100.0%
66.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wright
50.0%▲
46.5%
46.7%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2013 | 1 | 14:34 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 1 | 08:23 | Neutral | James Wright |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 1 | 03:04 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 3 | 06:04 | Neutral | James Wright |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 1 | 16:25 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 1 | 00:04 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |